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Analysis: Bitcoin Price Uptrend Continues Strong, Hodlers in 120% Profit

Analysis: Bitcoin Price Uptrend Continues Strong, Hodlers in 120% Profit

By StephanJune 19, 2024 News 3 Mins Read
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In its latest edition of the weekly newsletter “The Week On-Chain,” published on June 18, analytics firm Glassnode highlights that Bitcoin remains “largely profitable” despite several months of sideways price action for BTC. The newsletter aims to dispel myths surrounding investors’ unrealized losses.

BTC price analysis highlights “investor boredom and apathy”

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $65,314, maintaining stability within a defined range, and most hodlers are not experiencing a loss in their investment value.

Glassnode’s latest analysis characterizes the current BTC price action as “finding equilibrium,” citing various on-chain indicators that indicate Bitcoin is in a phase of consolidation rather than significant price decline.

“The current sideways movement of BTC is often associated with investor boredom and apathy, which seems to be the prevailing sentiment across Bitcoin markets,” Glassnode stated.

BTC prices are consolidating within a well-established trading range. The majority of investors are still in a positive position, with more than 87% of the circulating supply holding a cost basis lower than the current spot price.

Source: Glassnode

Researchers utilized the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) metric to illustrate that, on average, Bitcoin (BTC) has maintained a value more than twice its initial purchase price in U.S. dollar terms, showing a gain of 120%. The one-year average MVRV is currently at 86%.

“The MVRV Ratio continues to exceed its yearly baseline, indicating that the macro uptrend remains intact,” accompanying commentary noted.

Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin speculators remain steadfast, resisting capitulation despite market conditions.

The newsletter’s sentiment diverges from the heightened anxiety surrounding this week’s decline in BTC prices.

According to ongoing reports from Cointelegraph, traders are cautious as they observe potential breakdowns of support trendlines and the looming possibility of Bitcoin revisiting multi-month lows.

A critical metric currently under scrutiny is the aggregate purchase price of Bitcoin held by speculative investors, specifically the short-term holders (STHs).

Based on the latest data from Look Into Bitcoin, the STH cost basis is positioned at $64,000.

Source: Look Into Bitcoin

Even as unrealized gains diminish, short-term holders (STH) are not showing signs of gearing up for a mass sell-off at current price levels, as highlighted by Glassnode.

Currently, Glassnode reports that STH entities are transferring approximately +17.4k BTC/day to exchanges.

This figure marks a notable decrease from the peak of +55k BTC/day observed during March when the market surged to its all-time high (ATH) of $73,000. During that period, speculative activities were reaching heightened levels.

Source: Glassnode
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